Every name we track, one signal each.

The AI supply chain layer by layer, from substrates and chips to power and cloud, plus the adjacent waves. Each name carries a daily rules-based buy / hold / sell signal, static-tail validation results, and a current-rule historical replay of every closed replay signal, losers included.

As of 2026-10-28: the historical replay holds 600 closed round trips across the 155 tracked names; each card below shows that name's share, winners and losers alike.

Substrates & Materials

AXTIAXT (InP substrates)8 closed, 4 won, last −22.8% · validation +56.1%/yr vs +34.8% holdingENTGEntegris (fab materials)4 closed, 3 won, last −2.4% · validation +35.3%/yr vs +25.2% holding

EDA & Chip IP

SNPSSynopsys (EDA)validation +23.7%/yr vs +20.8% holdingCDNSCadence (EDA)1 closed, 1 won, last +98.7% · validation +29.3%/yr vs +26.5% holding

Fab Tools & Litho

ASMLASML (EUV litho)5 closed, 3 won, last −8% · validation +33%/yr vs +29.7% holdingAMATApplied Materials2 closed, 2 won, last +8.7% · validation +29%/yr vs +21.9% holding LRCXLam Researchvalidation +31.8%/yr vs +31.9% holding KLACKLA Corp6 closed, 2 won, last −15% · validation +20.2%/yr vs +29% holding

Foundry

TSMTSMC (foundry)validation +34.2%/yr vs +32.8% holding

HBM & Packaging

AMKRAmkor (packaging)5 closed, 4 won, last +134.3% · validation +24%/yr vs +26.4% holdingASXASE Technology8 closed, 7 won, last −7% · validation +31.3%/yr vs +28% holding TERTeradyne (test)12 closed, 6 won, last −7.9% · validation +19.8%/yr vs +17.8% holdingCRDOCredo (connectivity)1 closed, 1 won, last +317.8% · validation +354.9%/yr vs +142.8% holdingALABAstera Labs (connectivity)validation +392.6%/yr vs +373.5% holding

AI Chips

NVDANVIDIA16 closed, 10 won, last +40.1% · validation +76.4%/yr vs +69.5% holding AMDAMD8 closed, 5 won, last +311.6% · validation +38.8%/yr vs +26.8% holding AVGOBroadcomvalidation +56.4%/yr vs +51.5% holding ARMArm Holdings3 closed, 2 won, last +68.9% · validation +218.5%/yr vs +124.6% holding MRVLMarvell9 closed, 8 won, last +151.1% · validation +38.7%/yr vs +38.5% holding QCOMQualcomm10 closed, 2 won, last −6.3% · validation +16.4%/yr vs +11.3% holding TXNTexas Instrumentsvalidation +17.3%/yr vs +14.7% holding INTCIntel7 closed, 4 won, last +112.2% · validation +13.7%/yr vs +12.3% holding MPWRMonolithic Powervalidation +40.3%/yr vs +34.9% holding

Optical & Networking

COHRCoherent (optics)validation +25%/yr vs +17.5% holdingLITELumentum8 closed, 4 won, last −9.9% · validation +81.7%/yr vs +66.4% holding CIENCienavalidation +42.4%/yr vs +30.6% holding ANETArista Networksvalidation +61.3%/yr vs +48.2% holding APHAmphenol (interconnects)4 closed, 4 won, last +21.2% · validation +28.6%/yr vs +25.9% holdingFNFabrinet (optics modules)validation +64.6%/yr vs +40.9% holding

Memory & Storage

MUMicron (HBM)3 closed, 2 won, last +778.5% · validation +39.9%/yr vs +32.6% holdingWDCWestern Digitalvalidation +25.9%/yr vs +20.9% holding STXSeagatevalidation +48.1%/yr vs +44.5% holding

AI Servers & Systems

SMCISuper Micro (AI servers)4 closed, 3 won, last −9.3% · validation +69.2%/yr vs +42.3% holdingDELLDell (AI servers)14 closed, 10 won, last −4.2% · validation +109.7%/yr vs +92.7% holdingCLSCelestica (AI systems)validation +41.1%/yr vs +35.7% holding

AI Power & Grid

VSTVistra4 closed, 3 won, last −14.6% · validation +66.6%/yr vs +69.8% holding CEGConstellation Energy9 closed, 4 won, last −6.9% · validation +11.8%/yr vs −16.4% holding GEVGE Vernovavalidation +173.4%/yr vs +146.6% holding ETNEaton11 closed, 6 won, last −5.1% · validation +15.8%/yr vs +15.1% holding ONON Semiconductor6 closed, 3 won, last −6.5% · validation +37.8%/yr vs +24.4% holding VRTVertiv (cooling/power)5 closed, 3 won, last −7.6% · validation +132%/yr vs +104.4% holdingOKLOOklo (nuclear)validation +116%/yr vs +62.3% holdingSMRNuScale (nuclear)validation +20.6%/yr vs −39.3% holdingCCJCameco (uranium)validation +20%/yr vs +17.4% holdingPWRQuanta Services (grid)validation +32.6%/yr vs +32.4% holdingTLNTalen Energy20 closed, 13 won, last +0.6% · validation +25.5%/yr vs −5.3% holding NRGNRG Energy5 closed, 3 won, last −11.6% · validation +21.8%/yr vs +24.2% holding POWLPowell Industries3 closed, 2 won, last +151.6% · validation +22.3%/yr vs +18.7% holding SOSouthern Covalidation +9.4%/yr vs +10.7% holding

AI Cloud

NBISNebius (neocloud)newly tracked, results publish after its first evaluationCRWVCoreWeave (neocloud)newly tracked, results publish after its first evaluationIRENIREN (AI datacenters)6 closed, 4 won, last +1099.5% · validation +324.3%/yr vs +128.8% holdingORCLOraclevalidation +19%/yr vs +13.7% holding IBMIBM3 closed, 2 won, last −1.6% · validation +10.8%/yr vs +8.7% holding WCLDCloud Computing ETF (WisdomTree)7 closed, 4 won, last −4.1% · validation +4.1%/yr vs −0.3% holding

AI Software

PLTRPalantir1 closed, 1 won, last +1492.6% · validation +146.8%/yr vs +123.4% holding SNOWSnowflake11 closed, 5 won, last −6.7% · validation +43.1%/yr vs +37.4% holding CRMSalesforce3 closed, 3 won, last +13.9% · validation +12.8%/yr vs +6.2% holding ADBEAdobe4 closed, 1 won, last −7.7% · validation +15.4%/yr vs +14.1% holding NOWServiceNow4 closed, 3 won, last −3.9% · validation +12.6%/yr vs +3.4% holding DDOGDatadog8 closed, 5 won, last +58.3% · validation +44%/yr vs +34% holding MDBMongoDB5 closed, 2 won, last +70.4% · validation +26.8%/yr vs +17.3% holding NETCloudflarevalidation +80.8%/yr vs +62.7% holding APPAppLovin (AI ads)validation +171.5%/yr vs +102.6% holdingPATHUiPath11 closed, 4 won, last +36.8% · validation +33.3%/yr vs −3% holding AIC3.ai9 closed, 8 won, last +5.6% · validation +0.7%/yr vs −39.6% holding IGVTech-Software ETF (iShares)4 closed, 3 won, last −5.4% · validation +18.5%/yr vs +16.2% holdingSAPSAP7 closed, 5 won, last −2.7% · validation +13.1%/yr vs +8.2% holding

Cybersecurity

CRWDCrowdStrikevalidation +75.6%/yr vs +56.5% holding PANWPalo Alto Networksvalidation +38.6%/yr vs +40.3% holding ZSZscaler6 closed, 5 won, last −8.3% · validation +22.6%/yr vs +1.4% holding FTNTFortinetvalidation +43.1%/yr vs +39.3% holding SSentinelOne6 closed, 5 won, last +1.6% · validation +0.7%/yr vs −18.9% holding

Big Tech

AAPLApple2 closed, 1 won, last 0% · validation +27.7%/yr vs +25.8% holding MSFTMicrosoft2 closed, 2 won, last +11.8% · validation +19.5%/yr vs +21.5% holding GOOGLAlphabetvalidation +27.2%/yr vs +25.1% holding AMZNAmazonvalidation +29.7%/yr vs +25.1% holding METAMeta Platforms9 closed, 5 won, last −6.2% · validation +35.2%/yr vs +17.7% holding

Genomics & AI-Health

TEMTempus AI1 closed, 0 won, last −32%RXRXRecursion Pharma8 closed, 4 won, last +1% · validation +0.2%/yr vs −24.7% holding SDGRSchrödinger7 closed, 7 won, last +8.1% · validation +2.2%/yr vs −17.9% holding CRSPCRISPR Therapeutics7 closed, 5 won, last +5.5% · validation +8.8%/yr vs +4.7% holding NTLAIntellia8 closed, 5 won, last −12.6% · validation +10.9%/yr vs −27% holding ILMNIllumina5 closed, 1 won, last +3.7% · validation +8%/yr vs +3% holding ISRGIntuitive Surgicalvalidation +22.1%/yr vs +19.7% holding VRTXVertex Pharma12 closed, 8 won, last +18.2% · validation +27.6%/yr vs +20.9% holding LLYEli Lilly6 closed, 5 won, last +4.5% · validation +21.5%/yr vs +19.3% holding UNHUnitedHealth1 closed, 1 won, last +2.1% · validation +19.1%/yr vs +19% holding JNJJohnson & Johnsonvalidation +10.9%/yr vs +10.6% holding GEHCGE HealthCare4 closed, 1 won, last −4.3% · validation +0.1%/yr vs −8.3% holding PACBPacific Biosciences8 closed, 5 won, last +34.4% · validation +24.1%/yr vs −15.2% holding ABCLAbCellera2 closed, 1 won, last +20.8% · validation +20.6%/yr vs +92.5% holding GHGuardant Health1 closed, 1 won, last +174.9% · validation +77.3%/yr vs +99.4% holding NVONovo Nordisk1 closed, 1 won, last +130.9% · validation +15.6%/yr vs +16% holding RLAYRelay Therapeutics6 closed, 2 won, last −1.5% · validation +41.5%/yr vs +70.2% holding REGNRegeneron3 closed, 3 won, last +23.9% · validation +14.3%/yr vs +11.7% holding MRNAModerna10 closed, 4 won, last −6% · validation +15.5%/yr vs −5.5% holding BIIBBiogen4 closed, 2 won, last +41.2% · validation +11.3%/yr vs +2.8% holding EWEdwards Lifesciencesvalidation +16.5%/yr vs +10.7% holding PODDInsulet4 closed, 2 won, last +55.4% · validation +18.5%/yr vs +7.4% holding

Robotics / Physical AI

TSLATeslavalidation +51.1%/yr vs +36.9% holding SYMSymboticvalidation +88%/yr vs +39.2% holding ROKRockwell Automation3 closed, 3 won, last +11.3% · validation +19.1%/yr vs +19.2% holding DEDeere (autonomy)validation +21.2%/yr vs +16.6% holdingAVAVAeroVironment (drones)validation +27.7%/yr vs +11.3% holdingZBRAZebra Technologies5 closed, 3 won, last +10.6% · validation +19.9%/yr vs +15% holding SONYSonyvalidation +9.5%/yr vs +6.4% holding AXONAxon Enterprisevalidation +40.9%/yr vs +38.4% holding AURAurora Innovation2 closed, 2 won, last +124.5% · validation +32.6%/yr vs +6.1% holding

Quantum

IONQIonQ10 closed, 6 won, last +16.4% · validation +216.1%/yr vs +162% holding RGTIRigetti12 closed, 7 won, last +51.9% · validation +1072%/yr vs +315.2% holding QBTSD-Wave Quantum1 closed, 1 won, last +106.5% · validation +430.8%/yr vs +469.4% holding

Space

RKLBRocket Labvalidation +376%/yr vs +306.6% holding ASTSAST SpaceMobilevalidation +304.4%/yr vs +323.1% holding

Fintech & Crypto

VVisavalidation +16.4%/yr vs +11.2% holding MAMastercardvalidation +16.2%/yr vs +13.4% holding PYPLPayPal3 closed, 3 won, last +5.9% · validation +0.9%/yr vs −14% holding COINCoinbase6 closed, 4 won, last −7.9% · validation +55%/yr vs −10% holding NUNu Holdings6 closed, 5 won, last +56.2% · validation +18.1%/yr vs +2.4% holding SOFISoFi5 closed, 4 won, last +140.4% · validation +138.7%/yr vs +56.3% holding HOODRobinhood5 closed, 3 won, last +205.6% · validation +160.2%/yr vs +97.7% holding JPMJPMorganvalidation +12.2%/yr vs +14.6% holding GSGoldman Sachsvalidation +20.8%/yr vs +22.1% holding MSTRStrategy (BTC treasury)5 closed, 3 won, last −21.7% · validation +40.6%/yr vs +16.1% holdingTOSTToast2 closed, 1 won, last +80.6% · validation +19.4%/yr vs −14.2% holding MQMarqeta11 closed, 2 won, last −5.3% · validation +14.2%/yr vs +2.1% holding

Consumer & Internet

NFLXNetflix3 closed, 2 won, last +160.5% · validation +26.8%/yr vs +19.5% holding DISDisney8 closed, 6 won, last −3.7% · validation +7.1%/yr vs +7.1% holding UBERUber9 closed, 7 won, last +1.4% · validation +12.6%/yr vs +6.5% holding SHOPShopify8 closed, 6 won, last −4.5% · validation +22%/yr vs +34.8% holding ABNBAirbnb2 closed, 1 won, last +42.7% · validation +22.1%/yr vs +6.9% holding WMTWalmartvalidation +13.7%/yr vs +11.4% holding COSTCostco1 closed, 1 won, last +110% · validation +21.5%/yr vs +21.5% holding HDHome Depotvalidation +21.5%/yr vs +19.8% holding NKENike3 closed, 1 won, last −15.3% · validation +8.5%/yr vs +7.5% holding MCDMcDonald's6 closed, 3 won, last −3% · validation +9.9%/yr vs +13.7% holding KOCoca-Colavalidation +8%/yr vs +8.9% holding PGProcter & Gamble9 closed, 7 won, last +13.8% · validation +8.2%/yr vs +7.9% holding SESea Ltd8 closed, 4 won, last −4.9% · validation +46.4%/yr vs +20.7% holding

Industrials

CATCaterpillarvalidation +20.1%/yr vs +18.1% holding BABoeing7 closed, 4 won, last +6.1% · validation +5.2%/yr vs +9.7% holding GEGE Aerospace3 closed, 3 won, last +1.6% · validation +11.8%/yr vs +6.3% holding HIIHuntington Ingalls6 closed, 3 won, last −0.9% · validation +20.5%/yr vs +14.8% holding

Energy

XOMExxonMobil1 closed, 1 won, last +30.6% · validation +8.7%/yr vs +9.1% holding CVXChevron13 closed, 9 won, last +72.6% · validation +9.8%/yr vs +10.3% holding

Gold & Silver

GLDGold (SPDR ETF)5 closed, 3 won, last −9.2% · validation +16.7%/yr vs +14.2% holdingSLVSilver (iShares ETF)3 closed, 3 won, last +0.7% · validation +23.2%/yr vs +19.9% holdingSILSilver Miners (Global X)validation +20.6%/yr vs +16.7% holding

Inflation Hedge

TIPUS TIPS (iShares)3 closed, 3 won, last +4.2% · validation +2.6%/yr vs +2.6% holding

Index / ETF

SPYS&P 500 ETFvalidation +14.3%/yr vs +14.3% holding QQQNasdaq 100 ETF3 closed, 3 won, last +8.6% · validation +22.7%/yr vs +20.1% holding DIADow Jones ETFvalidation +12.4%/yr vs +12.4% holding IWMRussell 2000 ETF8 closed, 4 won, last +7.5% · validation +10.4%/yr vs +11.4% holding

Crypto

BTC-USDBitcoin5 closed, 4 won, last +0.6% · validation +34.5%/yr vs +7.6% holding ETH-USDEthereum3 closed, 3 won, last +48% · validation +23.2%/yr vs −1.1% holding

Signals are systematic and identical for everyone. Educational publication, not financial advice. Method on the methodology page, receipts on the historical replay page.